There are four Grade One races at Scottsville on Sunday and if you manage to catch the exotics on the day you’ll be wearing a huge smile behind your mask when you go to the bank on Monday, writes Gary Lemke.
All four races are run over 1200m and punters need to keep an eye on race two earlier in the day, which is only a maiden plate, but which features 16 runners spread across the track. This could be an important pointer to the Grade Ones later on the card. As well as th going. Heavy rain forced the meeting to be moved back from saturday to Sunday, so keep an eye on the track conditions!
Why so? The Scottsville draw. It is suggested that the track is fair from the inside to the outside, but it’s worth noting that there has been rain in KwaZulu-Natal this week and that there was quite a bit of it dumped into the Scottsville turf. The second race could be a pointer as to which side of the track the going is better.
However, whatever the second race result is, keep an eye on the first of the Grade Ones – race five’s Allan Robertson Championship for two-year-olds. It’s well known that juveniles improve at different stages and some can come along in leaps and bounds from one race to another.
So, tread very carefully in these two-year-old feature races and you probably have no option but to go wide in the exotics – the place accumulator, trifectas, quartets, jackpot and Pick Six.
What I’m going to try to do when tiptoeing through the minefield of the four features is to take a chance that the going will be better towards the outside of the track, so I’m going to favour the wider draws down the straight.
Therefore, for race five, the first Grade One feature, I’m going to look at Heavens Girl and Casa Inverno from the outside, Sheela and Sound Of Warning from the inside and Sky Glitter from up the middle. Sheela is the odds-on favourite and is unbeaten in two, but I’ll go for Sound Of Warning and Sky Glitter to give her a run for her money.
The second feature, race six, is the colts and geldings’ equivalent. Using the draw as a process of elimination, I’ll look at Gimme A Prince and Ambiotrix from the outside, Good Traveller and Bard Of Avon down the middle and Silver Salmon and Gallic Chief down the inside. This race though has massive scope for an upset! It’s About Time is also worth a second look.
Race seven sees the older horses, fillies, charge down the straight in the SA Fillies Sprint. By now you’ll have been able to see what the draws have panned out like.
Vernichey has shown a tendency to hang in her recent starts but is a course and distance specialist and might be able to upset the favourite True To Life. Never discount Sean Tarry on a big race day, but one of his runners, Tropic Sun, won’t enjoy the heavy going.
The last of the Grade Ones is a really competitive Golden Horse Sprint. Although MK’s Pride (pictured) has been showing over further, he is loaded with class and a good galloping weight. Eden Roc, Kasimir and Ultra Magnus all have prospects while there’s plenty of talk about the three-year-old Vars Vicky.
The GGGaming sponsored stable, Bass Racing, is at Kenilworth this weekend and also has two runners on the Scottsville card – Roll In The Hay in the fillies sprint and More Magic. But their best bet could be in the “lucky last” at Kenilworth with Kunming.