The general consensus is that Manchester City have one leg in the Champions League final as they prepare to host Paris St Germain (PSG) in the semi-final second leg tonight.
It’s hard to argue against that sentiment: City’s 2-1 win in Paris last week gave them a valuable two away goals and the following scenarios have to apply for PSG to cause the upset and progress to the final.
Manchester City have actually never lost to PSG in European competition!
City can afford to draw or even LOSE 1-0 and they will still qualify for the final. Even if they LOSE 2-1 the tie will go into extra-time and possibly penalities.
PSG have to WIN tonight and win 2-1 to force extra-time, or win 2-0 or better to reach the final after 90 minutes. Should PSG win 1-0 City will still go through.
Some key stats ahead of the game:
Manchester City are unbeaten in all 4 previous European meetings with PSG (W2 D2)
City have won their last 6 Champions League matches and victory here would see them break the record for the longest ever winning run by an English team in European Cup/Champions League history
Excluding this tie, in the history of the European Cup/UEFA Champions League, there have been 47 instances of an English side winning the first leg of a two-legged knockout tie away from home, and on all 47 occasions the English side has progressed
Should City progress, they would reach their first European final for 51 years, since winning the 1970 Cup Winners’ Cup final against Górnik Zabrze
City have won 10 of their 11 Champions League matches this season (D1), scoring 23 goals and conceding only four. They will become the first English side to win 11 games in a single European Cup/Champions League season if they beat PSG
This will be Pep Guardiola’s 63rd game in the Champions League knockout stages, the outright most of any manager, breaking Carlo Ancelotti’s record of 62
PSG striker Kylian Mbappe failed to attempt a single shot in the first leg against Man City, the first time he’s ever started a Champions League match and failed to do so
Three of Kevin De Bruyne’s 10 Champions League goals for Man City have been scored against PSG, with the French side the only team he’s scored more than once against