If you’re still standing after yet another brutal round of results then well done to you. Among the Superbru community the average was 2.82 correct out of the 10 matches. So, anything from a 3/10 and upwards was better than average.
It’s also amazing how things happen so late in a match that completely alters the result of a game. Everton drew 2-2 with Liverpool, but the champions are still aggrieved that VAR ruled out a last-gasp winner for them.
Chelsea conceded a 92nd minute equaliser in a 3-3 draw with Southampton and West Ham struck a ‘worldie’ 94th minute equaliser in their 3-3 draw with Tottenham. For the majority of Superbru players those three 90th-minute-plus events robbed them of three wins.
We also said that the draws were inevitable and there were six of them in the 10 matches! That includes the first 0-0 of the season. Now is the time to reflect on this season’s trend of results. Interestingly, the most common has been 1-0.
Trends so far: 1-0: 9 times 3-0: 5 times 3-1: 5 times 1-1: 4 times 2-0: 4 times 2-1: 3 times 5-2: 3 times 3-3: 3 times 4-3: 2 times 4-0: 2 times 4-2: 2 times 3-2: 1 time 4-1: 1 time 6-1: 1 time 7-2: 1 time 0-0: 1 time 2-2: 1 time
This week’s round gets going on Friday night, so make sure you enter your selection for Aston Villa and Leeds in time.
My picks: Aston Villa 1 Leeds 1: Villa are the favourites here and a win – or a draw – will see them go top. They’ve been impressive this season, a 100% win record in four games that includes a 7-2 drubbing of Liverpool. But, the only reason I’m going for the draw is because, as with Everton last week, I said that very, very few teams win five games in a row in this league. I know I’m in the minority with this pick.
West Ham 1 Man City 2:The Hammers have been a revelation and in their last three games have beaten Leicester and Wolves without conceding and then coming back from 3-0 down to score three times in the last 10 minutes against Tottenham. Throw in the fact that City are stuttering and with players injured and the hosts will fancy themselves. My leaning for City here is on the basis that they have to start firing sooner rather than later, but this is no gimme for them. The draw looks attractive.
Fulham 0 Crystal Palace 1: London derby sees bottom-placed Fulham desperate for points to build on last week’s draw against Sheffield United. This game features rivals who will be in the bottom half. In their five games, Fulham have scored four goals and conceded 12, while Palace have scored six and leaked eight. My instinct is to go for 0-0 but I think one goal either way could sneak this.
Man United 1 Chelsea 2: Game of the weekend! Chelsea are forging one of the better attacks in the league, although couldn’t break down Sevilla midweek. United meanwhile beat Champions League finalists PSG away. Still, if Chelsea can somehow plug the holes in their defence – they’ve already conceded three against both West Brom and Southampton – then they can go on to win this. You have to imagine that United will score. 2-2 will be a popular prediction.
Liverpool 3 Sheffield United 0: All the talk is about how Liverpool will cope without Virgil van Dijk, injured against Everton last week. He’s out for the season. But, I can’t see Sheffield Utd having the quality to put the Liverpool defence under pressure for long periods and the Liverpool attack should be too much.
Southampton 1 Everton 2: Log leaders Everton travel to an improving Saints. Both drew last week and both had their point secured in added-on time. Everton’s midfield should see them have more of the ball, but their defence isn’t befitting that of potential champions. Still, I see them being on top for another week.
Wolves 2 Newcastle 0: Which Newcastle will turn up? Their five results have been WLDWL. Good luck working out what’s going to happen next. Wolves have been slightly more consistent, with three wins and two defeats and home advantage might prove to be the difference.
Arsenal 2 Leicester City 1: Both were involved in 1-0 results last week, with the Gunners losing to Man City and Leicester losing to Villa. I do see goals coming with both sides scoring. Bias is slightly in favour of the hosts, and the way to bet might be on the over 2.5 goals.
Brighton 2 West Brom 1: 16th takes on 17th, both teams losing three of five. The 0-0 between West Brom and Burnley was the most turgid 90 minutes of football we’ve seen, so the slight preference here is for the hosts who are actually creating more chances than their results reflect.
Burnley 0 Tottenham 3: Burnley look relegation candidates – in my first column I predicted they’d finish 19th and Fulham 20th and they’re 18th and 20th – and Tottenham are flying. Spurs have found the net 15 times, but suffered that late meltdown against West Ham last week. Lightning shouldn’t strike twice. Lightning shouldn’t strike twice. This could get messy under Monday Night lights.
My best bets: Liverpool, Tottenham and Everton to win at 4.31 to 1 and…
Liverpool, Tottenham and Brighton to win 2.67 to 1