EPL Round 5: ‘Big’ guns to start firing

October 16, 2020

Here we go again after a week’s break due to the International calendar. A reminder of where we left off a fortnight ago, another crazy round in what has been a crazy EPL season so far. If you don’t want a reminder, look away now … but Tottenham destroyed Manchester United 6-1 at Old Trafford and Aston Villa tore apart champions Liverpool 7-2. 

Along with the other results, it adjusted the scoring trends for the season to the below:

1-0: 6 times

3-0: 5 times

3-1: 5 times

2-0: 4 times

2-1: 3 times

5-2: 3 times

4-3: 2 times

4-0: 2 times

4-2: 2 times

1-1: 2 times

3-2: 1 time

3-3: 1 time

6-1: 1 time

7-2: 1 time
But, surely now is the time for the ‘big’ guns – the two misfiring Manchester clubs, Chelsea and Liverpool to start firing.

Of the 38 matches there have only been three draws and that in itself is a low statistic compared to previous seasons. The draws will, as certain as day follows night, come. For now though, the first four rounds of the new season have been like two heavyweight boxers slugging it out. I hit you and you hit me, if you like. 

There have been no goalless draws. The total average of goals per match works out at 3.79 per game, so those who have been taking our advice and backing the plus 2.5 goals per game option will be in profit, no matter the result.

When it comes to Superbru, the scoring system rewards those with three points for an exact score. I’ve only had one exact in 38 games this season, a poor return for me. Good luck if you’ve been nailing the exacts and I’m sure the green arrows next to your name in the pool will reflect that.

This week things don’t get any easier, but with risk comes reward. Have a look how you compare to me and whatever your formula is, keep going if it’;s been successful. In my first blog I did say that we should wait until the opening six rounds of games have been played and then there’ll be a decent scoreline to follow.

Also, take advantage of GGGaming’s incredible bet offer where members of this pool get 10% of their losses back, and also the Beat The Banker double bet. It’s as simple as that.

Here are my predictions and assessments of this week’s games.

Everton 1 Liverpool 2: A derby that will go a long way to saying whether blue is replacing red on Merseyside. Everton have won four out of four games and top the table. Liverpool were beaten 7-2 by Aston Villa last time out. A cracker is in store. I can’t see Everton winning, if only because very, very few teams win five games in a row. For that reason, and the fact that there simply has to be a Liverpool reaction, I’m going an away win.

Chelsea 3 Southampton 1: By now you know I’m a Chelsea supporter, so I take my knocks when they lose, but even so they look to finally be getting more familiar with each other after a raft of new signings. Plus, the heavy artillery like Ziyech and Pulisic is getting ready to pull on the shirt again.

Man City 2 Arsenal 1: The Gunners have won three of their four games while City, who I actually tipped to win the League, have four points from their three matches and sit in 14th. I felt Arsenal were a touch fortunate to beat both West Ham and Sheffield United 2-1 and here that scoreline might go against them.

Newcastle 1 Man United 2: Ninth-placed Newcastle take on 16th-placed Man United here. Yes, the crazy times continue. This one could easily be a draw, but I’m going to fall into the trap that has been laid and don’t believe United can be as poor and clueless as they were in losing 6-1 to Spurs a fortnight ago.

Sheffield United 2 Fulham 0: Both have lost all four of their matches although Sheffield United have “only” been beaten 2-1, 1-0, 1-0 and 2-0, whereas Fulham’s defeats have been 3-0 (twice), 4-3 and 1-0. In their last game they were unlucky to lose to Wolves. This match has draw written all over it, but I’m going for the home win.

Crystal Palace 2 Brighton 3: Palace started by beating Southampton and Man United but then lost to Everton and Chelsea, while Brighton have lost three of their four, but against Everton, Man United and Chelsea. There should be goals in this game and I’m going for the visitors to spring the upset.

Tottenham 2 West Ham 0: Spurs are looking good under Jose Mourinho and embarrassed Man United by that tennis score last time. West Ham have also hit form, beating Leicester and Wolves in their last two games, scoring seven goals without conceding in the process. This should be a good spectacle, but with Jose at the wheel, Spurs look top four candidates.

Leicester 2 Aston Villa 1: Leicester scored 12 goals in their first three matches and that included beating Man City 5-2. They then lost 3-0 to West Ham, at home! Villa conceded their first two goals of the season, against Liverpool, but scored seven of their own and have a maximum nine points with 11 goals in the bag. This is a tough match to call between second and third on the current table.

West Brom 0 Burnley 1: Here 17th plays 18th on the table with one point between them. Both have relegation form. West Brom’s only point comes against Chelsea, a 3-3 draw after they led 3-0 at half-time! This is another tough call, with any of the three results possible. 

Leeds United 2 Wolves 2: Promoted Leeds lost 4-3 against Liverpool at Anfield and drew 1-1 with Man City and have been easy on the eye. Wolves’ two wins have come against Sheffield United and Fulham and they lost quite badly to Man City and West Ham. Very little to separate the sides here and there’s value in the odds with both teams being 18-10 for the win with 22-10 the draw.

Best bets: Win treble Liverpool, Chelsea, Tottenham 3.71 to 1
Four-to-come: Wins for Chelsea, Man City, Tottenham, Man United 5.19 to 1

 

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